2026 Quebec general election

Apr 19, 2026 - 15:54
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2026 Quebec general election

Projections

← Previous revision Revision as of 10:22, 19 April 2026
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!'''As of'''
!'''As of'''
!Projection
!Projection
⚫
|-
⚫
|[[338Canada|Qc125]]{{Cite web |title=338Canada Quebec {{!}} Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections |url=https://338canada.com/quebec/ |access-date=2025-11-16 |website=338canada.com}}
⚫
|'''59''' (53-69)
⚫
|'''49''' (40-57)
⚫
|'''11''' (6-14)
⚫
|'''6''' (2-8)
⚫
|'''0''' (0-1)
⚫
|April 17, 2026
⚫
|PQ minority
|-
|-
|Polling Canada{{Cite web |date=April 14, 2026 |title=Polling Canada Quebec Model |url=https://x.com/CanadianPolling/status/2044103597302984754}}
|Polling Canada{{Cite web |date=April 14, 2026 |title=Polling Canada Quebec Model |url=https://x.com/CanadianPolling/status/2044103597302984754}}
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|April 13, 2026
|April 13, 2026
|PQ majority
|PQ majority
⚫
|-
⚫
|[[338Canada|Qc125]]{{Cite web |title=338Canada Quebec {{!}} Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections |url=https://338canada.com/quebec/ |access-date=2025-11-16 |website=338canada.com}}
⚫
|'''63''' (54-72)
⚫
|'''47''' (39-57)
⚫
|'''9''' (5-14)
⚫
|'''6''' (2-8)
⚫
|'''0''' (0)
⚫
|March 31, 2026
⚫
|PQ minority
|}
|}
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
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| {{Canadian party colour|QC|QS|background}} align="center" |'''[[Quebec Solidaire|QS]]'''
| {{Canadian party colour|QC|QS|background}} align="center" |'''[[Quebec Solidaire|QS]]'''
!'''As of'''
!'''As of'''
⚫
|-
⚫
|[[338Canada|Qc125]]
⚫
|'''32%''' (±4%)
⚫
|'''32%''' (±3%)
⚫
|'''15%''' (±2%)
⚫
|'''12%''' (±2%)
⚫
|'''9%''' (±2%)
⚫
|April 17, 2026
|-
|-
|Polling Canada
|Polling Canada
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|'''8%'''
|'''8%'''
|April 13, 2026
|April 13, 2026
⚫
|-
⚫
|[[338Canada|Qc125]]
⚫
|'''33%''' (±4%)
⚫
|'''31%''' (±3%)
⚫
|'''15%''' (±2%)
⚫
|'''10%''' (±2%)
⚫
|'''9%''' (±2%)
⚫
|March 31, 2026
|}
|}
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
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|'''6%'''
|'''6%'''
|'''2%'''
|'''2%'''
|March 31, 2026
|April 17, 2026
|}
|}
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
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! colspan="5" |Odds of outcome
! colspan="5" |Odds of outcome
|-
|-
⚫
|{{Canadian party colour|QC|PQ|background}} align="center"|[[Parti Québécois|'''PQ''']] '''[[Majority government|maj.]]'''
|{{Canadian party colour|QC|PQ|background}} align="center"|[[Parti Québécois|'''PQ''']] '''[[Minority government|min.]]'''
|{{Canadian party colour|QC|PQ|background}} align="center"|[[Parti Québécois|'''PQ''']] '''[[Minority government|min.]]'''
⚫
|{{Canadian party colour|QC|PQ|background}} align="center"|[[Parti Québécois|'''PQ''']] '''[[Majority government|maj.]]'''
|{{Canadian party colour|QC|Liberal|background}} align="center" |'''[[Quebec Liberal Party|PLQ]]''' '''[[Minority government|min.]]'''
|{{Canadian party colour|QC|Liberal|background}} align="center" |'''[[Quebec Liberal Party|PLQ]]''' '''[[Minority government|min.]]'''
|{{Canadian party colour|QC|Independent (politician)|background}} align="center" |'''Tie'''
|{{Canadian party colour|QC|Independent (politician)|background}} align="center" |'''Tie'''
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|-
|-
|[[338Canada|Qc125]]
|[[338Canada|Qc125]]
|'''51%'''
|'''52%'''
|'''41%'''
|'''39%'''
|'''6%'''
|'''6%'''
|'''2%'''
|'''2%'''
|March 31, 2026
|April 17, 2026
|}
|}


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